Not believing in luck means not believing in chance. Not believing in chance means not believing in probability. And that, my friend, is a mathematical blunder!
That was my first thought. On second thought probability is not related to causality. Two events might me correlated but not necessarily reason for one another. As an example take the case of icecream and swimming deaths. The more icecream people eat the more number of people die swimming. But that does not mean icecream is causing swimming deaths. Obviously in summer people tend to swim more and they also eat more icecreams.
That was my first thought. On second thought probability is not related to causality. Two events might me correlated but not necessarily reason for one another. As an example take the case of icecream and swimming deaths. The more icecream people eat the more number of people die swimming. But that does not mean icecream is causing swimming deaths. Obviously in summer people tend to swim more and they also eat more icecreams.
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